| АНАЛИТИКА И РЕКОМЕНДАЦИИ ПО АКЦИЯМ | МОДЕЛЬНЫЙ ПОРТФЕЛЬ | СРАВНИТЕЛЬНЫЕ КОЭФФИЦИЕНТЫ | 20.11.2009 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Компания, вид акции |
Цена $ | +/- в 2009 | Рек-ия | цель 12мес. | до цели | Консен-сус $ | до цели | Изм.с 31.10 | Кол-во | Buy Sell | Портфель | Рост после | Кап-ия млн.$ | FF % | Вес по FF | Индекс РТС | EV/Sales 2008 2009 |
Sales +/- 2008 2009 |
EV/Ebitda 2008 2009 |
EBITDA +/- 2008 2009 |
P/E 2008 2009 |
P/ BV | ND/ MC | Дивиденд 2008 2009 |
Код РТС | ||||||
| Газпром | 6.23 | 70% | buy! | 18.8 | 202% | 9.17 | 47% | 0% | 12 | 10 | 15% | -35.4% | 147 511 | 25% | 22.7% | 13.3% | 1.5 | 1.8 | 47% | -19% | 3.4 | 4.2 | 63% | -22% | 5.5 | 6.9 | 0.8 | 20% | 1% | 0% | GAZP |
| Новатэк | 5.47 | 232% | hold | 8.9 | 63% | 7.19 | 31% | 9% | 10 | 7 | -22.8% | 16 622 | 25% | 2.6% | 1.9% | 6.3 | 6.1 | 26% | 10% | 14 | 14 | 26% | 2% | 20.9 | 20.9 | 4.0 | 9% | 1% | 2% | NVTK | |
| Лукойл | 61 | 87% | buy! | 130 | 113% | 77.9 | 28% | 2% | 17 | 6 | 15% | -13.1% | 51 908 | 50% | 16.0% | 13.5% | 0.6 | 0.7 | 28% | -8% | 4 | 3.9 | 9% | 0% | 6.6 | 7.3 | 0.9 | 11% | 2% | 3% | LKOH |
| Роснефть | 8.65 | 130% | buy | 11.5 | 33% | 8.72 | 1% | 7% | 14 | 2 | 7% | +2.3% | 91 708 | 15% | 8.5% | 10.7% | 1.8 | 1.9 | 36% | -4% | 7.4 | 7 | 18% | 3% | 9.6 | 12.1 | 1.7 | 15% | 1% | 1% | ROSN |
| СургутНГ | 0.92 | 64% | buy | 1.17 | 28% | 1.23 | 34% | 2% | 12 | 1 | 3% | +26.9% | 32 728 | 25% | 5.0% | 6.4% | 0.9 | 0.7 | -7% | 21% | 2.5 | 2 | -12% | 24% | 7.1 | 8.9 | 0.9 | -52% | 2% | 2% | SNGS |
| СургутНГ прив. | 0.46 | 122% | buy | 0.76 | 66% | 0.66 | 44% | -0% | 4 | 10 | 3% | +23.9% | 3 535 | 70% | 1.5% | 1.9% | 50% | 6% | 10% | SNGSP | |||||||||||
| Газпромнефть | 5.37 | 154% | buy | 7.6 | 42% | 5.52 | 3% | 3% | 14 | 2 | 4% | +11.6% | 25 447 | 5% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 1 | 0.9 | 48% | 3% | 4.2 | 4 | 26% | 0% | 6.3 | 7.0 | 1.5 | 4% | 3% | 3% | SIBN |
| Татнефть | 4.94 | 162% | buy | 7.1 | 44% | 4.88 | -1% | 10% | 11 | -3 | -0.5% | 10 768 | 25% | 1.7% | 2.5% | 0.7 | 0.8 | 25% | -6% | 7.1 | 5.1 | -34% | 50% | 38.0 | 10.1 | 1.1 | 5% | 4% | 3% | TATN | |
| Татнефть прив. | 2.18 | 214% | buy | 4.6 | 111% | 2.79 | 28% | 0% | 2 | 10 | -13.6% | 321 | 100% | 0.2% | 44% | 9% | 7% | TATNP | |||||||||||||
| Транснефть прив. | 756 | 220% | buy | 2000 | 164% | 1347 | 78% | -8% | 6 | 3 | -25.1% | 1 176 | 100% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 1.3 | 1.5 | 24% | 15% | 2.2 | 2.6 | 27% | 12% | 1.9 | 1.4 | 0.2 | 248% | 1% | 1% | TRNFP | |
| Уфанефтехим | 2.8 | 158% | buy | 4.8 | 71% | 6.25 | 123% | 0% | 1 | -3.4% | 771 | 20% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.8 | 1.4 | 64% | -35% | 1.5 | 7.2 | 155% | -76% | 4.7 | 18.1 | 1.2 | -21% | 4% | 11% | UFNC | ||
| Уфимский НПЗ | 1.16 | 152% | buy | 2.7 | 133% | 2.65 | 128% | 0% | 1 | +5.5% | 632 | 15% | 0.1% | 1.3 | 36% | 2.6 | 60% | 3.9 | 1.3 | -5% | 9% | 8% | unpz | ||||||||
| Новойл | 1.17 | 29% | buy | 1.8 | 53% | 1.76 | 50% | 0% | 1 | +6.8% | 933 | 6% | 0.0% | 1.7 | 30% | 3.8 | 71% | 6.3 | 2.1 | -14% | 6% | 6% | nunz | ||||||||
| АКРОН | 30.9 | 207% | hold | 88.9 | 188% | 34.2 | 11% | 2% | 11 | 4 | -56.0% | 1 472 | 12% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 1.5 | 1.5 | 39% | -4% | 3.6 | 8.1 | 104% | -57% | 4.5 | 13.3 | 1.7 | 43% | 7% | 9% | AKRN | |
| Дорогобуж | 0.59 | 181% | hold | 0.89 | 51% | 0.55 | -6% | -0% | 5 | 8 | -26.9% | 425 | 8% | 0.0% | 7 | 0% | 11% | 0% | DGBZ | ||||||||||||
| Сильвинит | 744 | 228% | hold | 1070 | 44% | 760 | 2% | 7% | 6 | 7 | -33.7% | 5 825 | 15% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 4.4 | 7.2 | 133% | -38% | 6 | 9.2 | 270% | -34% | 10.5 | 17.5 | 4.8 | 20% | 2% | 2% | SILV | |
| Уралкалий | 4.68 | 159% | hold | 9.4 | 101% | 4.59 | -2% | -0% | 15 | 3 | -46.8% | 9 943 | 20% | 1.2% | 2.7% | 4.5 | 5.8 | 113% | -25% | 6.9 | 9.1 | 242% | -27% | 13.1 | 15.3 | 5.4 | -4% | 1% | 3% | URKA | |
| ФСК | 0.01 | 219% | buy | 0.02 | 50% | 0.02 | 17% | 10% | 8 | 4 | 3% | +3.1% | 15 391 | 20% | 1.9% | 2.4% | 4.4 | 5.1 | 7% | 21% | 12 | 11 | 4% | 53% | 99.0 | 26.8 | 0.8 | -5% | 0% | 0% | FEES |
| МРСК Холдинг | 0.13 | 350% | buy | 0.17 | 29% | 46% | 5 | 8 | -8.4% | 5 406 | 25% | 0.8% | 1.1% | MRKH | |||||||||||||||||
| МОЭСК | 0.05 | 18% | hold | 0.12 | 150% | 0.05 | 5% | 4% | 7 | 7 | -52.0% | 2 238 | 10% | 0.1% | 1.7 | 1.2 | 63% | 39% | 8.4 | 3.5 | -7% | 139% | 28.0 | 5.8 | 0.5 | 61% | 0% | 0% | MSRS | ||
| РусГидро | 0.04 | 96% | hold | 0.09 | 123% | 0.05 | 17% | 0% | 14 | 5 | -40.5% | 10 786 | 15% | 1.0% | 2.4% | 4.3 | 3.3 | 36% | 18% | 8.6 | 5.3 | 72% | 49% | 9.8 | 0.8 | -18% | 1% | 0% | HYDR | ||
| Иркутскэнерго | 0.46 | 81% | buy | 1.15 | 148% | 0.54 | 15% | 1% | 2 | 5 | -31.2% | 2 210 | 8% | 0.1% | 1.7 | 1.7 | 71% | 10% | 10 | 8.8 | 101% | 22% | 11.6 | 21.5 | 2.1 | 20% | 1% | 0% | IRGZ | ||
| ОГК-1 | 0.03 | 132% | buy | 0.1 | 296% | 0.03 | 28% | 0% | 8 | 6 | 3% | -47.8% | 1 171 | 10% | 0.1% | 0.9 | 1.1 | 11% | -23% | 9.9 | 9.2 | -4% | 7% | 4.5 | 14.4 | 1 | 25% | 2% | 0% | OGKA | |
| ОГК-2 | 0.03 | 259% | buy | 0.17 | 433% | 0.05 | 67% | -3% | 10 | 6 | 3% | -28.4% | 1 044 | 19% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.9 | 0.9 | 20% | 0% | 60 | 8.7 | -63% | 636% | 17.9 | 0.8 | 24% | 0% | 0% | OGKB | |
| ОГК-3 | 0.05 | 327% | buy | 0.17 | 217% | 0.05 | 0% | 1% | 7 | -4 | -28.6% | 2 516 | 9% | 0.1% | 0.4% | 0.3 | 0.4 | 15% | -1% | 3 | 3.4 | 36% | 20% | 10.8 | 15.6 | 0.7 | -78% | 0% | 0% | OGKC | |
| ОГК-4 | 0.05 | 323% | buy | 0.12 | 127% | 0.07 | 28% | 13% | 7 | 4 | -11.4% | 3 437 | 2% | 0.0% | 0.5% | 1.8 | 2 | 21% | 7% | 15 | 10 | 48% | 70% | 16.3 | 13.6 | 1.2 | -20% | 0% | 0% | OGKD | |
| ОГК-5 | 0.08 | 131% | buy | 0.15 | 82% | 0.08 | -2% | 0% | 11 | -3 | -18.3% | 2 910 | 14% | 0.3% | 2.1 | 2.4 | 28% | -5% | 17 | 14 | 38% | 37% | 51.5 | 33.1 | 1.3 | 18% | 0% | 0% | OGKE | ||
| ОГК-6 | 0.03 | 188% | buy | 0.17 | 550% | 0.03 | 11% | 9% | 7 | 0 | -27.7% | 849 | 6% | 0.0% | 0.5 | 0.7 | 20% | -5% | 9.1 | 4.5 | -55% | 165% | 6.3 | 0.4 | 15% | 2% | 1% | OGKF | |||
| Мосэнерго | 0.1 | 221% | hold | 0.21 | 101% | 0.12 | 16% | 4% | 9 | 7 | +8.0% | 4 109 | 5% | 0.1% | 0.6% | 1.5 | 1.3 | 21% | 13% | 17 | 7.5 | 19% | 115% | 57.7 | 17.6 | 0.6 | 13% | 0% | 0% | MSNG | |
| ТГК-1 Петербург | 0 | 349% | buy | 0 | 169% | 0 | 34% | 6% | 6 | 8 | -16.6% | 2 004 | 30% | 0.4% | 1.8 | 1.9 | 19% | 6% | 16 | 10 | 86% | 79% | 55.0 | 18.4 | 0.9 | 18% | 0% | 0% | TGKA | ||
| ГМК Норникель | 142 | 112% | buy | 304 | 114% | 156 | 10% | 7% | 12 | 6 | 3% | -22.7% | 27 109 | 20% | 3.3% | 4.2% | 2.6 | 2.5 | -21% | -9% | 6.3 | 6 | -45% | -11% | 5.1 | 1.9 | -0% | 5% | 0% | GMKN | |
| Полюс Золото | 58.1 | 125% | buy | 55 | -5% | 50.1 | -14% | 1% | 8 | 6 | +77.4% | 11 076 | 35% | 2.4% | 2.6% | 11 | 10 | 22% | 11% | 29 | 21 | 115% | 33% | 99.0 | 32.2 | 3.5 | -6% | 0% | 0% | PLZL | |
| Полиметалл | 9.88 | 126% | hold | 10.3 | 4% | 0% | 11 | 5 | +48.6% | 3 112 | 25% | 0.5% | 0.6% | PMTL | |||||||||||||||||
| ВСМПО | 71.8 | 126% | buy | 350 | 388% | 109 | 52% | 0% | 1 | -46.3% | 827 | 25% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.6 | 0.4 | 41% | 8% | 1.8 | 1.3 | 45% | 10% | 2.7 | 2.5 | 0.5 | -15% | 3% | 0% | VSMO | ||
| ММК | 0.82 | 322% | buy | 1.41 | 72% | 0.85 | 4% | 6% | 17 | 5 | -12.6% | 9 175 | 15% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 1.1 | 1.7 | 25% | -38% | 5.2 | 6.2 | -10% | -15% | 9.9 | 19.0 | 0.9 | 4% | 4% | 8% | MAGN | |
| НЛМК | 3 | 193% | buy | 6.24 | 108% | 2.82 | -6% | 4% | 17 | 4 | -19.6% | 17 951 | 15% | 1.7% | 0.7% | 1.9 | 2.6 | 47% | -28% | 4.8 | 14 | 30% | -66% | 9.1 | 41.7 | 2.0 | 6% | 3% | 2% | NLMK | |
| Северсталь | 8.23 | 187% | buy | 27 | 228% | 7.81 | -5% | -1% | 16 | -2 | 4% | -50.0% | 8 295 | 15% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 0.7 | 1 | 43% | -26% | 3 | 16 | 42% | -81% | 4.7 | 1.1 | 69% | 8% | 13% | CHMF | |
| СГ Мечел | 16.6 | 315% | hold | 19.8 | 20% | 8% | 17 | 1 | -28.8% | 6 910 | 15% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 1.5 | 2.1 | 45% | -31% | 4.8 | 14 | 74% | -65% | 7.0 | 99.0 | 1.7 | 81% | 6% | 1% | MTLR | |||
| Трубная МК | 4.42 | 342% | buy | 9.25 | 109% | 5.31 | 20% | 10% | 9 | 3 | -29.1% | 3 862 | 23% | 0.5% | 1.4 | 1.4 | 32% | 3% | 8.1 | 7 | 7% | 17% | 22.6 | 14.4 | 1.8 | 83% | 4% | 1% | TRMK | ||
| Распадская | 4.54 | 343% | buy | 10.3 | 127% | 4.97 | 9% | 6% | 15 | 7 | -25.0% | 3 545 | 20% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 3.6 | 7.4 | 49% | -51% | 5.3 | 15 | 59% | -63% | 7.8 | 38.4 | 2.8 | 5% | 4% | 1% | RASP | |
| АвтоВАЗ | 0.57 | 132% | buy | 1.67 | 191% | 0.53 | -7% | -1% | 3 | 0 | 2% | -30.3% | 797 | 10% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.2 | 0.2 | 2% | 11% | 1.9 | 2.6 | -0% | 9% | 99.0 | 0.4 | 113% | 2% | 0% | AVAZ | |
| ГАЗ | 24.5 | 167% | buy | 252 | 929% | 27.2 | 11% | 0% | 2 | 5 | -77.6% | 454 | 20% | 0.1% | 0.2 | 0.2 | 24% | 19% | 2 | 1.4 | 18% | 26% | 1.6 | 1.2 | 0.4 | 147% | 8% | 0% | GAZA | ||
| КамАЗ | 2.41 | 216% | buy | 5.72 | 138% | 1.78 | -26% | 4% | 4 | -10 | -32.5% | 1 702 | 15% | 0.2% | 0.5 | 0.5 | 1% | -5% | 4.8 | 5 | -14% | -13% | 8.5 | 10.1 | 1.1 | -0% | 0% | 0% | KMAZ | ||
| Соллерс | 16 | 283% | buy | 78 | 388% | 19.9 | 24% | 0% | 7 | 6 | 2% | -62.5% | 548 | 35% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.7 | 0.6 | 25% | 9% | 7.8 | 6.2 | -12% | 27% | 5.2 | 1.2 | 173% | 6% | 3% | SVAV | |
| Иркут НПК | 0.3 | 154% | buy | 1.09 | 268% | -42.8% | 290 | 35% | 0.1% | 0.9 | 0.8 | 20% | 20% | 6.6 | 5.4 | 50% | 36% | 7.9 | 4.0 | 0.6 | 279% | 1% | 0% | IRKT | |||||||
| Аэрофлот | 1.61 | 72% | buy | 5 | 211% | 2.06 | 28% | 7% | 6 | 7 | -43.9% | 1 785 | 19% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.7 | 0.8 | 18% | -6% | 6.9 | 5.7 | -33% | 23% | 56.0 | 32.7 | 1.8 | 67% | 3% | 0% | AFLT | |
| Ютэйр | 0.33 | 299% | buy | 0.95 | 185% | 0.52 | 55% | 0% | 2 | -34.4% | 192 | 23% | 0.0% | 0.6 | 0.5 | 51% | 20% | 13 | 7.4 | -6% | 68% | 73.1 | 7.0 | 2 | 264% | 2% | 0% | TMAT | |||
| Дальневост. МП | 0.35 | 53% | hold | 0.41 | 16% | 12% | 1 | -62.8% | 1 044 | 15% | 0.1% | 1.3 | 1.2 | 27% | 20% | 5.3 | 5 | 11% | 17% | 14.0 | 10.4 | 0.6 | 36% | 0% | 0% | FESH | |||||
| Новоросс. МТП | 0.15 | 26% | hold | 0.2 | 29% | -3% | 7 | 7 | +19.0% | 2 956 | 10% | 0.2% | 0.7% | 6 | 3.8 | 31% | 43% | 11 | 5.4 | 82% | 87% | 37.9 | 9.8 | 3.3 | 4% | 0% | 1% | NMTP | |||
| МТС | 7.81 | 106% | buy | 18.1 | 132% | 10.1 | 30% | 3% | 12 | 8 | -25.6% | 15 562 | 10% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 2 | 1.9 | 21% | 5% | 4 | 4.1 | 18% | -2% | 9.4 | 9.1 | 3 | 14% | 7% | 9% | MTSS | |
| Система АФК | 0.77 | 405% | buy! | 2.6 | 239% | 1.16 | 51% | 9% | 6 | 5 | 4% | -25.8% | 7 406 | 5% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 1.3 | 1.2 | 21% | 16% | 3.8 | 3.4 | 8% | 20% | 99.0 | 7.6 | 1.1 | 158% | 1% | 0% | AFKS |
| РБК | 1.75 | 228% | hold | 10.5 | 501% | -73.3% | 245 | 35% | 0.1% | 2.4 | 3.3 | 12% | -26% | 25 | 26 | -19% | 3.6 | 81% | 0% | 0% | RBCI | ||||||||||
| Ростелеком | 6.52 | -26% | sell | 4.5 | -31% | 3.28 | -50% | 0% | 4 | -3 | -42.0% | 4 753 | 10% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 2 | 2 | 3% | 2% | 9.7 | 11 | 31% | -15% | 12.6 | 49.6 | 2.5 | -12% | 1% | 1% | RTKM | |
| Ростелеком прив. | 2.32 | 364% | buy | 3.5 | 51% | 2% | +88.9% | 563 | 100% | 0.3% | 36% | 6% | 4% | RTKMP | |||||||||||||||||
| УСИ | 0.03 | 161% | buy | 0.08 | 217% | 0.02 | -8% | 0% | 7 | -1 | 2% | -15.9% | 842 | 35% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 1.4 | 1.3 | 4% | 1% | 3.9 | 3.3 | 11% | 15% | 11.3 | 7.8 | 1.1 | 87% | 3% | 2% | URSI |
| УСИ прив. | 0.02 | 213% | buy | 0.06 | 200% | -9.1% | 153 | 100% | 0.1% | 75% | 8% | 6% | URSIP | ||||||||||||||||||
| ВолгаТелеком | 2.45 | 348% | buy | 7.08 | 189% | 3.26 | 33% | 0% | 7 | 7 | 2% | -4.9% | 602 | 40% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 1.2 | 1 | 7% | 3% | 3 | 2.6 | 8% | 10% | 7.4 | 5.7 | 0.7 | 60% | 3% | 3% | NNSI |
| ВолгаТелеком пр. | 1.78 | 273% | buy | 5.03 | 182% | +2.0% | 146 | 100% | 0.1% | 73% | 8% | 7% | NNSIP | ||||||||||||||||||
| Сибирьтелеком | 0.04 | 222% | buy | 0.14 | 291% | 0.05 | 29% | 0% | 7 | 3 | -39.4% | 421 | 40% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 1 | 1 | 7% | 2% | 2.9 | 2.7 | 7% | 4% | 9.9 | 7.7 | 0.7 | 144% | 4% | 3% | ENCO | |
| Сибирьтелеком пр. | 0.03 | 252% | buy | 0.1 | 258% | -26.9% | 106 | 100% | 0.1% | 77% | 8% | 7% | ENCOP | ||||||||||||||||||
| СЗТ | 0.47 | 126% | buy | 1.65 | 249% | 0.61 | 30% | 0% | 9 | 2 | -39.7% | 417 | 40% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 1.2 | 1.1 | 4% | 4% | 2.9 | 2.5 | 12% | 9% | 5.7 | 6.0 | 0.5 | 91% | 5% | 4% | SPTL | |
| СЗТ прив. | 0.37 | 108% | buy | 1.26 | 242% | -33.5% | 92 | 100% | 0.1% | 78% | 38% | 12% | SPTLP | ||||||||||||||||||
| Центртелеком | 0.5 | 308% | buy | 1.08 | 118% | 0.36 | -27% | 0% | 8 | 0 | +22.0% | 783 | 35% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 1.5 | 1.3 | 4% | 7% | 3.7 | 2.8 | 16% | 24% | 6.9 | 5.2 | 1.1 | 72% | 2% | 2% | ESMO | |
| Дальсвязь | 3.28 | 477% | buy | 6.98 | 113% | 3.25 | -1% | -7% | 6 | 3 | +32.7% | 314 | 40% | 0.1% | 1.1 | 0.9 | 7% | 11% | 3.1 | 2.7 | 9% | 9% | 5.4 | 4.5 | 1 | 49% | 1% | 2% | ESPK | ||
| ЮТК | 0.07 | 237% | buy | 0.21 | 177% | 0.07 | -0% | 0% | 7 | -3 | -13.9% | 220 | 40% | 0.1% | 1.4 | 1.3 | 5% | 5% | 3.9 | 3.4 | 8% | 12% | 3.8 | 0.8 | 262% | 4% | 1% | KUBN | |||
| 7 континент | 8.74 | 37% | buy | 30.1 | 245% | 7.52 | -14% | -3% | 5 | -6 | -66.7% | 655 | 25% | 0.1% | 0.6 | 0.6 | 26% | 8% | 6.2 | 5.6 | 14% | 11% | 11.4 | 10.4 | 1 | 39% | 0% | 0% | SCON | ||
| Магнит | 61.3 | 281% | buy | 55.8 | -9% | 64.3 | 5% | -1% | 16 | 5 | +53.3% | 5 101 | 20% | 0.6% | 1.0% | 1.2 | 0.9 | 41% | 30% | 16 | 10 | 79% | 56% | 31.6 | 18.4 | 4.6 | 8% | 0% | 0% | MGNT | |
| ДИКСИ Групп | 7.7 | 335% | buy | 22.6 | 193% | 8.18 | 6% | 3% | 14 | 8 | -29.5% | 662 | 42% | 0.2% | 0.6 | 0.5 | 32% | 10% | 10 | 8.5 | 34% | 26% | 20.7 | 2.8 | 46% | 0% | 0% | DIXY | |||
| Аптеки 36и6 | 11.4 | 438% | buy | 80 | 604% | 8.7 | -23% | 0% | 1 | 2% | -51.6% | 108 | 30% | 0.0% | 0.4 | 0.5 | 19% | 9% | 59 | 12 | #### | 464% | 16 | 307% | 0% | 0% | APTK | ||||
| Верофарм | 29.3 | 201% | hold | 61.9 | 111% | 40.2 | 37% | 12% | 4 | 7 | -35.7% | 293 | 41% | 0.1% | 2.1 | 1.8 | 20% | 15% | 7.1 | 6.1 | 20% | 14% | 9.2 | 8.7 | 1.7 | 7% | 0% | 0% | VRPH | ||
| Фармстандарт | 60.2 | 225% | buy | 85.2 | 42% | 63.6 | 6% | -2% | 13 | 5 | -6.0% | 2 274 | 10% | 0.1% | 0.3% | 4.7 | 4.1 | 26% | 10% | 11 | 9.8 | 20% | 7% | 18.7 | 15.1 | 3.9 | -1% | 0% | 0% | PHST | |
| Балтика | 26.7 | 104% | hold | 59 | 121% | 44.8 | 68% | 23% | 1 | -24.2% | 4 315 | 10% | 0.3% | 1.5 | 1.3 | 17% | 18% | 5.2 | 4.7 | 13% | 12% | 8.7 | 7.5 | 2.4 | 5% | 7% | 11% | PKBA | |||
| Вимм-Билль-Данн | 42.9 | 221% | buy | 106 | 147% | 48.6 | 13% | 1% | 10 | 3 | 2% | +1.4% | 1 889 | 10% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.9 | 0.9 | 12% | 4% | 7.3 | 6.1 | 17% | 18% | 21.6 | 12.8 | 2.4 | 18% | 0% | 0% | WBDF |
| Группа Разгуляй | 1.84 | 94% | buy | 9.9 | 438% | 1.5 | -18% | 0% | 1 | 2% | -66.5% | 291 | 20% | 0.0% | 0.9 | 0.8 | 17% | 20% | 14 | 7.4 | -32% | 106% | 0.6 | 332% | 0% | 0% | GRAZ | ||||
| Группа ПИК | 4.2 | 340% | buy | 3.52 | -16% | 0% | 3 | 5 | -77.0% | 2 073 | 16% | 0.2% | 2.7 | -0 | -40% | 166% | 30 | -1 | -87% | 577% | 5.5 | 1.9 | -119% | 0% | 0% | PIKK | |||||
| Система-Галс | 31.9 | 301% | buy | 260 | 715% | 43.2 | 35% | -0% | 3 | 7 | 2% | -50.9% | 358 | 20% | 0.0% | 5.7 | 5.1 | -17% | 57% | -20 | 12 | #### | #### | 3.3 | 1.3 | 594% | 0% | 0% | HALS | ||
| Концерн Калина | 15.7 | 171% | buy | 51.6 | 228% | 18.4 | 17% | -0% | 3 | 3 | -31.6% | 153 | 40% | 0.0% | 0.7 | 0.6 | 19% | 5% | 5.9 | 5.4 | 2% | 10% | 19.1 | 9.7 | 1 | 81% | 4% | 2% | KLNA | ||
| Сбербанк | 2.47 | 218% | buy | 4.64 | 88% | 3.04 | 23% | 5% | 16 | 7 | 8% | +2.2% | 53 213 | 35% | 11.5% | 16.6% | 5.7 | 4.5 | 46% | 28% | 10 | 7 | 82% | 50% | 16.3 | 59.3 | 2.1 | 34% | 1% | 1% | SBER |
| Сбербанк прив. | 1.84 | 496% | buy | 3.25 | 76% | 1.47 | -20% | -6% | 5 | 2 | +35.7% | 1 844 | 100% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 75% | 1% | 1% | SBERP | ||||||||||||
| ВТБ | 0 | 92% | buy | 0.01 | 158% | 0 | -1% | 7% | 14 | -3 | 7% | -22.1% | 22 872 | 20% | 2.8% | 2.3% | 6.8 | 5.2 | 62% | 31% | 13 | 8.6 | 90% | 50% | 99.0 | 1.2 | 0% | 2% | 1% | VTBR | |
| Банк Москвы | 25 | 4% | hold | 21.9 | -13% | 12% | 2 | -10 | -40.1% | 3 253 | 20% | 0.4% | mmbm | ||||||||||||||||||
| Банк Возрождение | 40.9 | 347% | hold | 63.8 | 56% | 49.5 | 21% | -3% | 11 | 7 | +0.5% | 971 | 36% | 0.2% | 2.6 | 2.4 | 47% | 11% | 5.5 | 4.7 | 89% | 15% | 9.1 | 6.4 | 1.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | VZRZ | ||
| ИТОГО / Медиана | 197% | buy! | 176% | 15% | 0% | 100% | -25.4% | 690 377 | 24% | 162 257 | 99.4% | 1.4 | 1.3 | 24% | 6% | 6.2 | 6.1 | 18% | 15% | 9.9 | 10.1 | 1.1 | 18% | 2% | 1% | ||||||
| ИНДЕКС РТС | 1444 | 128% | buy! | 2852 | 98% | 1745 | 21% | 5% | портфель | -16.3% | -9.2% | 659 323 | 28% | 186 000 | 100% | 2.9 | 2.7 | 32% | 2% | 7.5 | 6.6 | 42% | 13% | 19.4 | 21.1 | 1.6 | 14% | 2% | 2% | RTS | |
| Примечания: | Free Float | FF% - доля акций в свободном обращении, т.е. у миноритарных акционеров | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Рек-ия, цель | Рекомендация ФГ Ермак (май 2008) и целевая цена на 12 мес. (красн.-понижена, зел.-повышена) | EV/Sales | Отношение стоимости компании (EV=Капитализация+Чистый долг) к выручке Sales | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Консенсус $ | Cредняя целевая цена / индекс РТС аналитиков ведущих инвестиционных компаний и банков | EV/EBITDA | Отношение EV к EBITDA (операционная прибыль+амортизация), EBITDA +/- - рост | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Изм.с 31.10 | Изменение консенсуса после указанной даты. Кол-во - количество рекомендаций по акции | P/E и P/BV | Цена акции к годовой чистой прибыли (E) и собств.капиталу (BV) на акцию | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Buy Sell | Индекс средней рекомендации по акции (+10 - все рекомендуют покупать; -10 - продавать) | ND/MC | Соотношение чистого долга компании (Net Debt) и капитализации её акций (MС) | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Портфель, рост | Структура модельного портфеля акций (на 03.09.2008г.) и его рост впоследствии. | Дивиденд | Дивидендная доходность акции (всего начислено за год к цене акции) | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| ОТРАСЛЕВЫЕ СРЕДНИЕ (МЕДИАНЫ) | МОДЕЛЬНЫЙ ПОРТФЕЛЬ | ОТРАСЛЕВЫЕ СРЕДНИЕ (МЕДИАНЫ) | 20.11.2009 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| НЕФТЬ И ГАЗ | 152% | 66% | 34% | 0% | 5 | 47% | -10.9% | 384 061 | -4.6% | 59.9% | 52.4% | 1.3 | 1.4 | 30% | -4% | 3.8 | 4.2 | 26% | 2% | 6.3 | 8.9 | 1.1 | 5% | 3% | 3% | Oil&Gas | |||||
| ХИМИЯ | 194% | 76% | 0% | 1% | 5 | 0% | 17 665 | -1.6% | 1.9% | 3.6% | 4.4 | 5.8 | 113% | -25% | 6 | 9.1 | 242% | -34% | 10.5 | 15.3 | 5.1 | 10% | 5% | 3% | Chem. | ||||||
| ЭЛЕКТРОЭНЕРГЕТИКА | 219% | 149% | 17% | 4% | 5 | 9% | -24.4% | 54 071 | -1.2% | 5.1% | 7.6% | 1.7 | 20% | 11 | 27% | 28.0 | 0.8 | 17% | 0% | 0% | Utilities | ||||||||||
| МЕТАЛЛУРГИЯ | 190% | 111% | 7% | 5% | 5 | 7% | -38.3% | 91 863 | +0.2% | 11.2% | 11.0% | 1.5 | 2.1 | 41% | -26% | 5.2 | 14 | 42% | -15% | 8.4 | 25.6 | 1.8 | 5% | 4% | 1% | Metal | |||||
| МАШИНОСТРОЕНИЕ | 167% | 268% | 2% | 0% | 3 | 4% | -46.4% | 3 790 | -0.1% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.5 | 0.5 | 20% | 11% | 4.8 | 5 | -0% | 26% | 7.9 | 5.2 | 0.6 | 147% | 2% | 0% | Mach. | |||||
| ТРАНСПОРТ | 63% | 198% | 29% | 3% | 7 | 0% | 5 977 | +0.0% | 0.5% | 1.0% | 1 | 1 | 29% | 20% | 9 | 5.5 | 3% | 46% | 47.0 | 10.1 | 1.9 | 52% | 1% | 0% | Transp. | ||||||
| ТЕЛЕКОММУНИКАЦИИ | 233% | 195% | 14% | 0% | 3 | 10% | +3.3% | 32 624 | -0.4% | 3.0% | 1.9% | 1.4 | 1.3 | 7% | 4% | 3.8 | 3.3 | 9% | 10% | 9.4 | 6.8 | 0.8 | 81% | 4% | 3% | Telcos | |||||
| ПОТРЕБИТ.СЕКТОР | 223% | 193% | 6% | 0% | 5 | 8% | -41.9% | 18 173 | +0.5% | 1.8% | 1.4% | 1.1 | 0.9 | 19% | 12% | 8.9 | 6.7 | 14% | 16% | 18.7 | 10.1 | 2.1 | 28% | 0% | 0% | COGS | |||||
| БАНКИ | 218% | 82% | -1% | 5% | 2 | 15% | -9.1% | 82 153 | +0.4% | 16.1% | 20.3% | 5.7 | 4.5 | 47% | 28% | 10 | 7 | 89% | 50% | 16.3 | 32.8 | 1.3 | 0% | 1% | 1% | Banks | |||||
| © Финансовая Группа "Ермак", 2008 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||